Smartt, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

441
FXUS64 KOHX 292348
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
648 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...New UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 639 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
- Dry through the week.
- Very warm with well above normal temperatures, trending a
  little cooler late week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 639 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
All is quiet across Middle TN this evening with hardly a cloud in
the sky. No major changes to the forecast were made this evening
with no impactful weather expected. Satellite imagery shows
Tropical Storm Imelda and Hurricane Humberto off the Atlantic
Coast with their tracks still taking them out farther into the
Atlantic. There is a low chance that some tropical moisture
getting pulled westward results in isolated showers for the far
eastern Plateau. However, the chances of this happening are only
around 10 percent. Instead, the Plateau may just see increased
cloud cover tomorrow. Otherwise, a nice, albeit warm, day is in
store with high temperatures near 90 degrees to help close out
September.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1100 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
The most interesting wx features for the next couple of days will
be tropical systems Humberto and Imelda, which will stay out over
the Atlantic, and a weak inland trough drifting from the Mid
Atlantic down to the Deep South. A warm, dry ridge will be in
place north and west of these active wx systems, and this ridge
will dominate our local wx throughout this week.
There is a small chance for a few raindrops along the Plateau
Tuesday as the upper trough draws some moisture westward from the
coast, but chances have been decreasing and are now less than 15
percent. Otherwise, the system may bring a little cloudiness at
times. Daytime temps will stay very warm with highs in the 80s to
near 90 (around 10 degrees above normal) and nights will cool off
to the upper 50s and lower 60s with a few patches of shallow fog.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1100 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
The upper ridge will rule with warm days and seasonable nights.
There will be a gentle push of cooler air from the northeast late
week, but temperatures will continue to be warmer than normal for
the foreseeable future. No meaningful rain is in sight.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
A surface ridge is situated to the west of Middle Tennessee this
evening, so our winds will maintain a northerly component, which
also translates to a stable atmosphere and VFR wx, with the
exception of the typical radiation fog at our two Cumberland
Plateau terminals (KCSV and KSRB).
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      63  89  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    60  90  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     57  80  56  80 /   0  10   0   0
Columbia       60  88  61  87 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     59  83  59  83 /   0  10   0   0
Jamestown      59  80  58  81 /   0  10   0   0
Lawrenceburg   59  85  59  85 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   60  87  61  87 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        60  88  61  87 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
UPDATE.......Clements
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....Rose

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion