Spring Grove, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

461
FXUS63 KGID 101152
AFDGID
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
652 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...AVIATION UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- An isolated shower or non-severe thunderstorm may impact north
  central Kansas and extreme southern portions of south central
  Nebraska this morning as the large MCS across west/central
  Kansas tracks eastward.
- Patchy dense fog may impact areas mainly north of Interstate
  80 this morning where less cloud cover has allowed for some
  fog development. This fog is fairly shallow and should rapidly
  dissipate by mid-morning.
- Sunny skies will return to the entire forecast area this
  afternoon with a gradual warming trend through Friday when
  high temperatures will be in the 90s.
- The next best shot of precipitation will come this weekend
  (Saturday PM/Sunday) as the west coast trough swings into the
  plains.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 349 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
An overall quiet night across the local area as the bulk of
shower and thunderstorm activity remains to our south where a
large MCS matured overnight. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms developed on the northern boundary of this MCS the
past hour, impacting mainly Furnas county. Additional shower
and thunderstorm activity will be possible across north central
Kansas this morning, with no strong/severe storms expected.
North of the cloud shield associated with the aforementioned
MCS...some light fog has developed in spots, with the thickest
fog currently impacting Valley county, with some very light fog
being observed as far south as Lexington and Holdrege. Could
see some additional patchy dense fog develop mainly north of
I-80 (see the 8Z HRRR), but this fog will be very shallow and
short lived once the sun comes up.
For today, expect clearing skies for everyone by afternoon with
a mostly sunny and seasonable day in store for the local area.
As the upper level ridge then strengthens over the central
plains towards the end of the week, expect rising temperatures
along with suppressed convection through Friday, when high
temperatures will once again be more summerlike. At the same
time, surface winds will be on the increase out of the south,
with a breezy afternoons Thursday-Saturday across the region.
For the weekend, expect the upper level low across northern
California this morning to gradually shift eastward, swinging
across the plains Saturday PM. This should bring the next best
chance for some precip back to the region, with some severe
storms possible? depending on the timing of the trough. Latest
models indicate there will be 1-2KJ of MU CAPE in place
Saturday, and soundings are indicating strong inverted V
profiles Saturday afternoon, so will need to see how things play
out over the next couple of days as at least strong to
marginally severe storms may become possible.
Temperatures will eventually return to more seasonal levels late
in the weekend, with seasonably warm readings expected to then
continue into next week. At the same time, could see additional
chances for precip next week as a subsequent upper level low
crosses the area late in the period.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 635 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
Moderate confidence VFR conditions through the period with lower
confidence the first few hours as very brief MVFR conditions in
BR are not in the TAF but have a low probability through around
10/15Z. Thereafter...southeasterly winds near 10 KTS will
increase across the local area with only a few-sct high level
clouds through the afternoon hours. Winds will remain steady
this evening, but any convection should remain well south and
east of the terminals with a small chance for BR (once again not
included) aft 11/06Z.
&&
.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Rossi
AVIATION...Rossi

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion