792 FXUS63 KDVN 281915 AFDDVNArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL 215 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- The warmer than normal conditions will continue through the week with only a slight cool down toward the weekend.
- Dry conditions are expected through Saturday. While the models suggest rain next weekend, there is an 80% probability that dry conditions will continue.
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.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... Issued at 215 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
The front has stalled south of I-80 and will slowly wash out through sunrise Monday. The dry air will result in larger than normal diurnal temperature swings.
Right now it appears no records will be broken on Monday but one location may be close. Refer to the climate section for records highs.
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.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Issued at 215 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Monday night through Saturday Assessment...A near certainty (>99%)of above normal temperatures and no rain.
The thermal ridge remains in place across the area through mid-week before slowly retrograding into the Plains. Record highs are not expected for Tuesday but have been included in the climate section.
The main weather players this week will be the developing blocking pattern on the east coast with strong high pressure from New England into the mid-Atlantic states with tropical systems Humberto and Imelda off the southeast coast. Until a developing trof forecast by the global models develops on the east coast to push Humberto and Imelda out to sea, weather systems across the CONUS will slow to a crawl. The persistent dry air over the area will also result in cool nights and warm days.
Saturday night and Sunday Assessment...Very high (>90%) confidence on warmer than normal temperatures continuing. Very low (
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