794 FXUS63 KILX 251848 AFDILXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lincoln IL 148 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A stretch of dry weather will likely continue through next week. This will worsen ongoing drought conditions.
- Unseasonably warm weather will develop, with highs rising well into the 80s this weekend through early next week.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 147 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
High pressure will dominate the forecast through next week. Overall, a large scale/broad upper level ridge will build over the region through the middle of next week, promoting a warming trend and dry weather. A couple of nuances, however, will affect temperature trends, and provide a remote chance for precipitation toward the middle to latter portions of next week. First, the amplification of the ridge will be slowed the next few days as a shortwave propagates by well the north tonight another over the weekend, suppressing the ridge and disrupting any coherent sustained southerly flow. Highs should reach the lower 80s Friday, mid 80s Saturday, and mid to upper 80s Sunday through at least early next week. There is also a small potential for an Atlantic tropical disturbance that is likely to become a tropical storm or hurricane in the upcoming days to move onshore, with remnants moving into the Ohio Valley region. While it is a long-shot at this point for any precipitation in central IL, and too low for mentionable chances of precipitation in the forecast, this appears to be the only slim chance for any precipitation through next work week. Otherwise, drought conditions will resume worsening after the generally modest precipitation that was received the past several days.
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.AVIATION... (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Friday Afternoon) Issued at 1234 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
VFR conditions are expected for most of the next 24 hours, however patchy fog could bring some MVFR or worse vsbys early Friday morning. Scattered to broken cloud cover around 3500 ft AGL will continue this afternoon and dissipate close to sunset. Winds N-NNW around 10 kts or less will continue this afternoon, decreasing to light and variable by 00Z.
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.CLIMATE... Issued at 147 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Record high temperatures for Sunday through Tuesday:
Location Sunday Monday Tuesday -------- --------- ---------- ---------- Bloomington 94 (1953) 100 (1953) 98 (1953) Champaign 94 (1953) 99 (1953) 91 (1971) Charleston 94 (1953) 99 (1953) 92 (1933) Decatur 96 (1953) 100 (1953) 94 (1922) Lincoln 96 (1953) 101 (1953) 93 (1952) Olney 97 (1939) 101 (1953) 93 (1952) Peoria 92 (1939) 98 (1953) 91 (1933) Springfield 94 (1953) 100 (1953) 92 (1971)
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.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.
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NWS ILX Office Area Forecast Discussion