Vulcan, West Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

311
FXUS61 KRLX 110642
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
242 AM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure continues to support dry conditions for most of
the area through early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 240 AM Thursday...
While an upper-level trough continues to slide over the eastern US,
high pressure and dry air in the low-levels will continue to support
quiet and predominantly dry conditions within the forecast area
through tonight.
Similar to the past couple of days, relative humidity is expected to
range from 25 to 35 percent across much of the lowlands this
afternoon. Despite low RH amid a prolonged stretch of dry weather,
fire weather concerns will continue to be tempered by the absence of
strong winds.
Daytime temperatures are expected to warm to around normal, with mid
70s to mid 80s in the lowlands and mid 60s to upper 70s in the
mountains. Overnight lows should generally be in the mid 40s to
50s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 240 AM Thursday...
In the upper levels, a trough recedes to the east while a ridge
builds in from the west late this week. Surface high pressure also
maintains residence over the Middle Ohio Valley and Central
Appalachians, allowing a prolonged period of uneventful weather to
persist through the end of the week.
Temperatures become warmer for the end of week, with highs expected
to be in the 80s in the lowlands and upper 60s to low 80s in the
mountains.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 240 AM Thursday...
While the majority of the long term forecast period should remain
dry due to a lingering ridge of high pressure, forecast confidence
is slightly lessened by the possibility of a few showers associated
with a front early in the week. This potential does, however,
remain fairly low at this point.
&&
.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 115 AM Thursday...
Patches of dense river valley fog may be possible prior to
sunrise this morning; however, extent should be limited by some
clouds and light wind. Whatever fog does form will lift around
12-13Z. Outside of any fog, flight conditions should remain
VFR through the end of the valid TAF period.
Winds will be calm to light through 12Z, light and northerly
during the day, then become calm to light and variable again
after 00Z.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Low for fog. Otherwise, high.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Duration and extent of fog may vary from
the forecast.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE                              THU 09/11/25
UTC 1HRLY       06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17
EDT 1HRLY       02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    L    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    L    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  L    M    M    M    M    M    M    L    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    L    M    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    M    M    M    L    H    H    H    H    H
AFTER 06Z FRIDAY...
IFR possible in early morning valley fog each morning.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...20
NEAR TERM...20
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM...20
AVIATION...20

NWS rlx Office Area Forecast Discussion