West Point, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

201
FXUS62 KFFC 271024
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
624 AM EDT Sat Sep 27 2025
...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 600 AM EDT Sat Sep 27 2025
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms around today, with the
   highest coverage over northeast and east-central GA.
- Tropical forecast remains very uncertain through mid to late
   week, impacts would be minimal with the current forecast.
- Temps in the 70s to low 80s and breezy winds each afternoon
   lead to fall like conditions.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 155 AM EDT Sat Sep 27 2025
A nearly stationary cold front remains draped across far western
GA early this morning, with occasional showers kicking off along
it. This front will finally start to push across north and central
GA today as a mid-level low over the TN Valley lifts off to the
northeast. Shower and thunderstorm activity today will generally be
confined to areas along and ahead of the front, with the best
chances being this afternoon and evening across the eastern half
of the state. Severe weather is not anticipated, but a few storms
may be strong with gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy
rain. High temps will be around normal today, climbing into the
low to mid 80s.
Convective activity will rapidly drop off late this evening
and overnight on the backside of the front as the mid-level low
pulls away and a much drier airmass spreads over the region. This
will lead to a very pleasant Sunday with dry conditions, mostly
sunny skies, and high temperatures again in the low to mid 80s.
Winds may be a bit breezy out of the east-northeast during the
afternoon as surface high pressure builds to the north.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 155 AM EDT Sat Sep 27 2025
The main story of the longterm continues to be the tropical
activity in the western Atlantic. Humberto has strengthened into a
Category 4 storm but with the strong high pressure over the
Atlantic and the deep positively tilted trough over a majority of
the southern CONUS, Humberto is expected to curve northeastward
into the Atlantic where it will stay away from the eastern
seaboard. NHC designated PTC 9 as of the 4pm advisory cycle and
with the current forecast is expected to become TS Imelda this
weekend. Model guidance is in agreement that PTC9 (future Imelda)
will track north-northwestward through Monday before models turn a
bit more varied with their solutions. Latest solutions shows
almost three different possible routes with this system but
overall NHC is leaning more towards the system stalling out over
the SC coastline potentially into mid to late week before choosing
the next path. What this means for us is the likelihood for
impacts in north and central Georgia have decreased over early
next week (although they were pretty minimal to begin with). We`ll
see where the models track over the next few runs to see the
overall setup into the end of the week. Northeast/east Georgia
will be the place to watch more as certainty increases over the
next day or so for potential impacts if Imelda were to push inland
although latest models have tended in the direction of the storms
stalling out and/or pushing out east into the Atlantic.
Regardless it doesn`t hurt to review any plans you have and as
always stay tuned to the NHC forecast as well as ours.
Other than the tropical system activity temperatures looks to
moderate and give a nice taste of fall into the early week with
the upper level pattern supporting cooler and drier conditions as
we are wedged in between the synoptic flow of the cutoff low and
Imelda. Highs in the mid 70s to low 80s can be expected through
the long term with lows approaching the lower 60s to upper 50s.
Wind gusts will also remain elevated through much of the long term
beginning this weekend into early next week as the pressure
gradient between the upper level cutoff low and the tropical
system set up over the area. Gusts through next week remain in the
15-20mph range most afternoons with up to 25mph possible over the
southeastern and eastern counties. If the storm tracks closer to
the coast we could see these values approach wind gust criteria
into the weekend with the higher end gusts showing up to 35mph
gusts possible. Still too soon to see at this point though but
keep that in mind for the week!
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 AM EDT Sat Sep 27 2025
A frontal boundary remains just west of a line from CSG to FTY,
with ISO SHRA and MVFR or lower CIGs and VIS along it. Areas of
IFR CIGs ongoing this morning will gradually improve by mid to
late morning. VFR conditions expected the rest of the 12Z TAF
period outside of potential ISO SHRA/TSRA this afternoon. Light
and VRB winds this morning will turn NW around 5-7kts as the
front moves through the ATL area during the day. Winds then turn
out of the E-NE late tonight into Sun AM.
//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Low confidence in CIGs this morning. Medium confidence in all
other elements.
Culver
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          81  63  81  66 /  40  10  10  20
Atlanta         83  65  84  67 /  20  10  10  10
Blairsville     76  58  79  59 /  50  10  20  10
Cartersville    84  62  86  65 /  20  10  10  10
Columbus        86  65  87  67 /  20   0  10   0
Gainesville     81  63  82  66 /  40  10  10  10
Macon           84  65  84  67 /  30  10  10  10
Rome            86  63  87  66 /  20  10  10   0
Peachtree City  84  63  84  65 /  20  10  10  10
Vidalia         84  67  87  69 /  50  10  20  20
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Culver
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Culver

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