White Rock, North Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

240
FXUS61 KRNK 281026
AFDRNK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
626 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Drier weather expected today as weak high pressure builds into
the region. Increasing clouds and rainfall chances Monday and
Tuesday, but confidence is increasing that any impacts from the
tropics will be minimal. Dry high pressure returns again for the
middle of the week, remaining in place through next weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 120 AM EDT Sunday...
Key Messages:
1) Foggy this morning, but gradual clearing through late
morning.
2) A mostly dry day is expected.
Rain is gradually coming to an end this morning, but areas of
fog will increase through sunrise. An upper disturbance
responsible for the rainfall the past few days finally moves
east and weak high pressure will begin to build in through
today. This will result in a mostly dry day with the only
exception being a few isolated showers that may develop in the
higher terrain this afternoon. Anything that does develop should
be short-lived and will diminish by sunset this evening. Another
round of fog is possible again tonight.
Should we clear out from clouds today, afternoon temperatures
will be warm in the mid upper 70s to lowers 80s. Mild nighttime
lows in the upper 50s to low 60s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 130 AM EDT Sunday...
Key Messages:
1) Confidence increasing that future current TD09 will remaining
off the United States Coast.
2) Rain amounts have continued to decrease, but a few periods of
rain possible Monday and Tuesday.
Current TD09 is still expected to become Tropical Storm Imelda
by Monday, and possibly reach hurricane status by Monday night.
Closer to home, only impacts locally on Monday look to be
increasing clouds cover and a few showers across the Piedmont as
tropical moisture is pulled northward. By Tuesday, Imelda will
approach the South Carolina coastline, but should remain
offshore. Additional tropical moisture could be pulled
northward and spread across the Carolinas and portions of
Virginia. However, the trend over the past few runs of guidance
have shown decreasing rainfall amounts. At the moment, Tuesday
has the best chance for rainfall, but amounts now look to remain
less than an inch with highest amounts across north central
North Carolina.
High pressure will begin to press further south, blocking Imelda
from any further northward movement and the system eventually
follows Humberto east out into the Atlantic away from the United
States. Guidance has continued to come into much better
agreement about this scenario and if this indeed occurs, expect
a mostly dry Wednesday with mainly just some cloud cover.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 145 PM EDT Sunday...
Key Messages:
1) Dry high pressure will build in from the north leading to
drier weather through next weekend.
Guidance has come into better agreement that high pressure will
begin to build in across the east CONUS. This should lead to a
drier stretch of weather continuing into next weekend. Somewhat
of a wedging pattern sets in as well with flow generally out of
the north-northeast. This should lead to slightly below normal
daytime high temperatures and cool overnight lows in the 40s and
50s.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 625 AM EDT Sunday...
Mostly sub-VFR this morning with multiple terminals at IFR/LIFR.
Areas of fog and low cigs will continue through just after
daybreak.
Will see gradual improvements by 13-15z with VFR returning.
Should have VFR continue through this evening with dry
conditions expected. Some areas of fog again tonight, mainly
across the mountains.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
Rain may return Monday and Tuesday as easterly flow brings
moisture back into the area from the Atlantic Coast. Occasional
sub-VFR is possible, especially Monday night and Tuesday night.
Expecting VFR Wed-Sat, except for patchy morning fog.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BMG
NEAR TERM...BMG
SHORT TERM...BMG
LONG TERM...BMG
AVIATION...BMG

NWS RNK Office Area Forecast Discussion