Zerkel, Minnesota Weather Forecast Discussion

188
FXUS63 KFGF 280003
AFDFGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
703 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Near critical fire weather is expected across northwest and
  west central Minnesota Sunday afternoon.
&&
UPDATE
Issued at 620 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
With RH now back above 25 percent across northwest Minnesota
will allow the SPS to expire on schedule at 7pm. Regardless the
well above normal heat for late september and the breezy
conditions are certainly putting in work to dry down vegetation
with once again concerningly low RH tomorrow afternoon across
north central Minnesota of 20-25 percent. While winds will be
slightly lower this may warrant another SPS for near critical
conditions.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 332 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
...Synopsis...
Ridging prevails across the Northern Plains today through early next
week, bringing continued warm and dry weather to the region. Our
next chance for precipitation looks to be late Tuesday into
Wednesday as a shortwave moves through northwest Minnesota. This
will be the first of several chances as we head into the second half
of next week. As the H5 ridge continues east, southwest flow forms
across western Canada and the Pacific Northwest. This will bring a
potentially unsettled pattern into the area late next week and into
the weekend.
...Near Critical Fire Weather Through Late this Afternoon...
RH values are currently in the 20 to 30 percent range across much of
the area, with northwest winds of 10 to 20 mph. Dew points will
slowly increase into the 40s this evening and bring the RH values
into the 40 to 50 percent range as temperatures fall. Winds are not
expected to increase, although a few gusts just over 20 mph are
possible.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 620 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
VFR conditions for all through the next 24 hours with winds
(namely any gusts) posing the only hazards to aviation. Gusts
dropping off as we decouple in the next 1-2 hours for all but
TVF and possibly DVL as the ridge axis on the northwest of the
high pressure to the south keeps a stronger pressure gradient
across these sites overnight. Winds gusts return for all by noon
tomorrow with gusts of 15-20kts being widespread.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...TT
DISCUSSION...Lynch
AVIATION...TT

NWS FGF Office Area Forecast Discussion